Category Archives: Voting

Democratic Moderates Have a Turnout Problem

Posted on June 30, 2026 by mikethemadbiologist

While there has been wailing and gnashing of teeth over how Mamdani-backed candidates seized all three branches of governmentwon three Democratic primaries, what these elections show is how bad Democratic moderates are at turning out their supporters. In the most … Continue reading →

Posted in Democrats, Voting | 1 Comment

Some Preliminary Thoughts on D.C.’s Preliminary Election Results

Posted on June 17, 2026 by mikethemadbiologist

Yesterday, the mainland colony known as the District of Columbia had its primary elections–and for all intents and purposes, the Democratic primaries are the de facto election (there wasn’t even a Republican candidate for mayor on the ballot). Some comments, … Continue reading →

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The Absurdity of the SAVE Act

Posted on April 2, 2026 by mikethemadbiologist

It is pretty clear at this point Trump really wants to pass the SAVE Act, even though senate Republicans do not want it to pass: depending on the state, these id-based restrictions would likely hurt Republicans. One absurdity in all … Continue reading →

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The Name of the Game Is Rallying Your Base and Discouraging Theirs

Posted on April 22, 2025 by mikethemadbiologist

Or at least seventy percent of the game (boldface mine): Our estimate is that the voters who voted in the 2025 Supreme Court election backed Kamala Harris by 7 points in 2024. In other words, roughly 70% of Susan Crawford’s … Continue reading →

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A Possible Reason Why Republicans Act Like They Have 2026 in the Bag

Posted on March 17, 2025 by mikethemadbiologist

Because they think they can suppress voter turnout among women (boldface mine): It took three trips, but Brooke Yonge was finally able to cast her ballot. On her first trip to the Derry polls Tuesday morning, Yonge didn’t bring proof … Continue reading →

Posted in Conservatives, Ratfucking, Voting | 2 Comments

National Election Predictions

Posted on November 5, 2024 by mikethemadbiologist

Today’s the big day! Anyway, here’s how I think things will go: Harris wins the popular vote by 4-5%. Harris wins MI, WI, and PA by greater than two points. Harris wins AZ by less than one percent. Georgia is … Continue reading →

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Tuesday’s Results, Democrats, and Off-Year Elections

Posted on November 10, 2023 by mikethemadbiologist

Oh my? The strong performance by Democrats Tuesday is an inversion of a historical pattern in which Democrats do far worse in off-year elections. Of course, the results are a good thing in and of themselves. But I do wonder … Continue reading →

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The Missing Evangelical Vote

Posted on November 11, 2022 by mikethemadbiologist

Or at least, the New Kids on the Voting Block diluted their power. Depressing as it is, a key political phenomenon, arguably the key political phenomenon, throughout my life has been the power white evangelicals have due to their much … Continue reading →

Posted in Conservatives, Voting | 1 Comment

Some Thoughts on the (Preliminary) Election Results

Posted on November 9, 2022 by mikethemadbiologist

In no particular order: If someone had told me that Democrats, this morning, still had a (slim) chance of holding the House, I wouldn’t have believed it. While I did think Republican seats – Democratic seat would be between five … Continue reading →

Posted in Democrats, Fucking Morons, Voting | 2 Comments

Literacy and Voting

Posted on September 27, 2022 by mikethemadbiologist

I’m late to this very good ProPublica article about the problems illiterate voters face (boldface mine): Conservative politicians have long used harsh tactics against voters who can’t read — poor, often Black and Latino Americans who have been failed by … Continue reading →

Posted in Conservatives, Voting | 1 Comment