Category Archives: Statistics

Revisiting Misadventures in Interpreting Democratic Primary Polling Data (LIZLADS ARE THE WORST)

Since we’re discussing the Democratic primaries, I’ll began with my typical disclosure that, were I voting today, I would vote Warren. A month ago, Emerson Polling released a poll, which led to wailing and gnashing of teeth in certain quarters: … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics | Leave a comment

When Standard ‘Pundit Talks To Pals’ Behavior Is Gussied Up With Numbers

Et tu, 538? One of the long-standing problems in political punditry is when pundits consider the group of people they know, a group which is almost always completely unrepresentative of the phenomenon they’re discussed, as a representative sample. Seth Masket, … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics

Attorney General Sessions’ Approach To ‘Antiwhite Bias’ Is Based On Flawed Math

I’m shocked. As we noted yesterday, the Justice Department under noted Keebler Elf and guy too racist to be a judge in 1986, Jeff Sessions, will be investigating supposed antiwhite bias in college admissions (but will they also investigate affirmative … Continue reading

Posted in Education, Fucking Morons, Racism, Statistics | 1 Comment

We’re Missing The Point About Trump’s Charges Of Illegitimate Elections

It’s the self-projection, stupid. What I mean by that is everything Trump accuses someone else of doing, he’s doing himself. Sexual assault by Bill Clinton? Turns out Trump is a serial groper–and boasts about it. The Clinton Foundation is thoroughly … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Statistics, Voting | 5 Comments

Student Test Scores And Understanding Your Data

One thing I’ve noted over the years is that, when it comes to teacher evaluation through student testing*, you have to understand the limitations of your data. Most scores, either percentiles or reported numeric scores, are non-linear, which means that … Continue reading

Posted in Education, Statistics

Clearly, The Rothwell Paper Indicates That There Is A Genetic Basis For White Trump Support

And I mean that as seriously as when I argued that Massachusetts whites were genetically superior to Alabaman whites–which is to say, not all. But I’m getting ahead of myself. One of the more frustrating things of this election cycle … Continue reading

Posted in Conservatives, Democrats, Economics, Racism, Statistics | 1 Comment

Sanders Supporters Aren’t To The Right Of Clinton’s (Thoughts On Post-Pub Review)

Unless you include likely Republican voters as Sanders supporters. A couple of weeks ago, political scientists Chistopher Achen and Larry Bartels published a NY Times op-ed claiming that Sanders supporters aren’t more liberal than Clinton supporters. Achen and Bartels were … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics | 2 Comments