Category Archives: Statistics

Understanding the Limitations of Your Data: The Student Debt Edition

As I’ve noted many times, when doing analysis, you must understand the limitations of your data, whether it be the microbiome, genomics, education statistics, polling data, or, well, anything else. With presidential candidates Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders both … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Education, Statistics | Leave a comment

How to Use Polling Data for Gaslighting Clickbait

Consider this part of our ongoing series in how not to use polling data. This head-explodey tweet came across the transom recently: For the third week in a row, The Economist/YouGov polling shows that the share of Democratic primary voters … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics

Revisiting Misadventures in Interpreting Democratic Primary Polling Data (LIZLADS ARE THE WORST)

Since we’re discussing the Democratic primaries, I’ll began with my typical disclosure that, were I voting today, I would vote Warren. A month ago, Emerson Polling released a poll, which led to wailing and gnashing of teeth in certain quarters: … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics

When Standard ‘Pundit Talks To Pals’ Behavior Is Gussied Up With Numbers

Et tu, 538? One of the long-standing problems in political punditry is when pundits consider the group of people they know, a group which is almost always completely unrepresentative of the phenomenon they’re discussed, as a representative sample. Seth Masket, … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics

Attorney General Sessions’ Approach To ‘Antiwhite Bias’ Is Based On Flawed Math

I’m shocked. As we noted yesterday, the Justice Department under noted Keebler Elf and guy too racist to be a judge in 1986, Jeff Sessions, will be investigating supposed antiwhite bias in college admissions (but will they also investigate affirmative … Continue reading

Posted in Education, Fucking Morons, Racism, Statistics | 1 Comment

We’re Missing The Point About Trump’s Charges Of Illegitimate Elections

It’s the self-projection, stupid. What I mean by that is everything Trump accuses someone else of doing, he’s doing himself. Sexual assault by Bill Clinton? Turns out Trump is a serial groper–and boasts about it. The Clinton Foundation is thoroughly … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Statistics, Voting | 5 Comments

Student Test Scores And Understanding Your Data

One thing I’ve noted over the years is that, when it comes to teacher evaluation through student testing*, you have to understand the limitations of your data. Most scores, either percentiles or reported numeric scores, are non-linear, which means that … Continue reading

Posted in Education, Statistics