Category Archives: Statistics

Student Test Scores And Understanding Your Data

One thing I’ve noted over the years is that, when it comes to teacher evaluation through student testing*, you have to understand the limitations of your data. Most scores, either percentiles or reported numeric scores, are non-linear, which means that … Continue reading

Posted in Education, Statistics | Leave a comment

Clearly, The Rothwell Paper Indicates That There Is A Genetic Basis For White Trump Support

And I mean that as seriously as when I argued that Massachusetts whites were genetically superior to Alabaman whites–which is to say, not all. But I’m getting ahead of myself. One of the more frustrating things of this election cycle … Continue reading

Posted in Conservatives, Democrats, Economics, Racism, Statistics | 1 Comment

Sanders Supporters Aren’t To The Right Of Clinton’s (Thoughts On Post-Pub Review)

Unless you include likely Republican voters as Sanders supporters. A couple of weeks ago, political scientists Chistopher Achen and Larry Bartels published a NY Times op-ed claiming that Sanders supporters aren’t more liberal than Clinton supporters. Achen and Bartels were … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics | 2 Comments

Saturday Sermon: How To Avoid P-Hacking

Outsourced to Daniel MacArthur: A couple of years ago, it was discovered that two very prominent economists, who based on erroneous data (which was also not very robust), were telling governments that when debt reaches ninety percent of GDP (or … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Genomics, Statistics | 4 Comments

We Will Never Know If Electronic Voting Compromises Elections: Democrats Should Worry About This

I hate writing about this since, on the one hand, I sound like a tin foil helmet type, but starting three years ago, statisticians realized that there was something very weird happening with electronic voting (boldface added): …this pattern [a … Continue reading

Posted in Democrats, Fucking Morons, Statistics, Voting | 5 Comments

Understanding The Limitations Of Your Data: The Slavery Polling Edition

Last week, a YouGov poll announced that twenty percent of Trump supporters disagreed with the freeing of slaves after the Civil War. I won’t deny that a huge (YOOGE!) component of Trump’s appeal is Palinist–that is, white nationalist (though I … Continue reading

Posted in Polling, Statistics

Understanding the Limitations of Your Data: The Testing Protocol Edition

In the era of Big (Infatuation With) Data, one thing to keep in mind is that all data have limitations. How the data are analyzed and collected can have huge effects on your conclusions. One example is how poor students … Continue reading

Posted in Education, Statistics