The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Another Good Decline

With a caveat though. Before we get to that, only Ward 3 is below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week–which also is the threshold the CDC suggests schools for all grades can reopen (0.05% in the second column below; n/a is not available):


Ward one-week prevalence one-week % pos. two-week prevalence two-week % pos.
1 0.106% n/a 0.244% n/a
2 0.096% n/a 0.205% n/a
3 0.048% n/a 0.111% n/a
4 0.108% n/a 0.233% n/a
5 0.123% n/a 0.293% n/a
6 0.126% n/a 0.280% n/a
7 0.205% n/a 0.469% n/a
8 0.268% n/a 0.588% n/a
D.C. total 0.135% 2.2% 0.300% 2.3%

All wards had significant declines, and city-wide, D.C. had a 19% decrease, though yesterday’s numbers were very low, so hopefully, this isn’t a data reporting artifact (this is the aformentioned caveat). We lack percent positive rates for each ward, however, so there’s no context for these numbers. City-wide, the percent positive rate is alright, but we don’t know how each ward is doing.

Vaccination is a little higher than the 0.1% increase per day for the entire population we’ve seen for the last few months. We still haven’t seen the federal worker vaccination mandate kick in yet, but maybe we’ll see a surge this week, as the ‘drop dead’ dates for beginning vaccination at many agencies begin next week. We had five deaths in the last week, including a 32 year-old woman, but hospitalizations have declining slightly; that said, there are enough hospitalized people such that we’ll see several deaths per week for a while (plus or minus).

While D.C. has pushed some emergency legislation to get students vaccinated, we still have no mandates for non-essential businesses. Meanwhile, in an attempt to buoy her support in wealthier wards, Bowser is refusing to be more flexible about remote learning, and, in doing so, treating the reported school COVID-19 positives as if they are not a massive underestimate: she can’t claim you’re Following The Science while simultaneously touting a testing scheme that almost seems designed to miss most cases. Akshually, Bowser did do that, but that’s why most state and local politicians, who have done a mediocre job throughout the pandemic, shouldn’t be re-elected.

None of this needed to happen.

Rage is the appropriate emotion.

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1 Response to The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Another Good Decline

  1. Pingback: The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: The Decline Is Slowing | Mike the Mad Biologist

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