The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: A Little Better

But not in all wards. Before we get to that, no wards are below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week–which also is the threshold the CDC suggests schools for all grades can reopen (0.05% in the second column below; n/a is not available):

Ward one-week prevalence one-week % pos. two-week prevalence two-week % pos.
100.00% 0.07% n/a 0.14% n/a
200.00% 0.06% n/a 0.10% n/a
300.00% 0.05% n/a 0.10% n/a
400.00% 0.07% n/a 0.18% n/a
500.00% 0.09% n/a 0.19% n/a
600.00% 0.05% n/a 0.13% n/a
700.00% 0.10% n/a 0.23% n/a
800.00% 0.15% n/a 0.29% n/a
D.C. total 0.08% 1.24% 0.17% 1.30%

While Wards 4-7 had desperately needed declines, Wards 2 and 3 saw large increases. Overall, the city had a eleven percent decrease in new positives. We lack percent positive rates for each ward, however, so there’s no context for these numbers. City-wide, the percent positive rate is good, but we don’t know how each ward is doing.

Vaccination is mostly trundling along at 0.1% per day, though we had a few days higher than that during the last week. It’s unclear if these are miscounted third shots–since I’m not in, I have no idea if my eventual booster will be counted as a first shot or not. We had two deaths in the last week, and hospitalizations continue to decline. We still have no significant vaccine requirements for patronizing indoor establishments, and none seem on the horizon.

As some asshole with a blog noted last week:

…it’s clear that the D.C. government doesn’t understand the problem unvaccinated kids with unvaccinated parents presents. So while I don’t think fall and early winter will be bad, we seem to be heading towards a kinder, gentler Great Barrington Declaration in terms of policy.

I have no idea what the winter will bring. Hopefully, cases will stay low, and boosters will be approved for wider use (and that they will be effective over the longer term). That might let us turn the corner on this mess.

Rage is still the appropriate emotion.

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