The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Improving, but Still Not Close to Where We Need to Be

D.C. has prevalence about six and a half times as high as a good prevalence, one that allows normal-ish activity (one new case per 100,000 people per day). This is the first time in months that D.C. has dropped below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week (0.05% in the second column below). That’s an improvement, but it’s still too high. Wards 1, 3, and 5 showed marked improvement; Wards 1, 2, 3, and 5 were below the German rollback threshold:

Ward one-week prevalence two-week prevalence
1 0.025% 0.066%
2 0.036% 0.068%
3 0.021% 0.052%
4 0.059% 0.118%
5 0.052% 0.116%
6 0.042% 0.094%
7 0.058% 0.120%
8 0.065% 0.132%
D.C. total 0.045% 0.096%

One thing we’ll have to watch is the effect of the Labor Day weekend; hopefully, we won’t see a surge in cases. There still doesn’t seem to be a plan to significantly lower the prevalence either, other than hoping for the best–regular readers will note that I point this out every week. We’re still not there, and it doesn’t have to be like this.

Anger is still the appropriate emotion.

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