Aka the Republican Party in 2024, Year of Our Gritty (boldface mine):

There are two main reasons MAGA continues to ignore Trump’s cries for crowds to mob the courthouse on his behalf. First of all, they don’t think it would really change anything. Second, they don’t see what’s in it for them. Trump, who is unable to think about anyone but himself for even a second, hasn’t bothered to persuade his followers that it would somehow benefit them to take such serious risks.

On the second point, it’s crucial to remember that while MAGA has cult-like properties and Trump is its leader, it isn’t actually a cult of personality in the true sense. Fundamentally, it’s a fascist movement focused on restoring an imagined past based on white supremacy and male dominance. Trump is the vehicle for his followers’ grievances, not the other way around. His anger over losing the 2020 election resonated with them not because they pitied him, but because they pity themselves. They wanted to win that election too, and when he offered them a chance to steal it, they went for it, to protect their own egos more than his.

While Trump obviously needs to be stopped, the base will still be susceptible to someone else who can promise them their reactionary paradise. It’s going to be a long haul, even if November goes well.