The State of COVID in D.C.*: A Plateau

*And by D.C., I mean Alexandria, VA, because the publicly available Biobot D.C. data don’t seem to be collected anymore.

No decline this week:

Screenshot 2024-04-03 at 6.55.35 AM

With virtually no change from 207 copies/ml to 208 copies/ml, we’re still twice as high than the mid-June 2023 nadir and at about a sixth of the January 2023 season peak. That probably means around 0.3-0.5 percent of people are currently infected (though that’s a very rough estimate because we’re not collecting the right prevalence data).

The good news is that the prevalence is low, but we still would like to see further declines, which we know from previous data are possible. Fewer infections is always better. Unfortunately, using ‘Mike’s Snotty People at the Gym Index’, I think we might see an increase next week.

I’m still wearing a mask in most indoor spaces, largely because getting COVID (or anything else) while running errands (or while going to the gym!) is just stupid. But the prevalence is low enough such that the risk of infection is much lower–which is good!

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