There have been a whole spate of articles (here’s a decent one) attempting to determine why, despite some strong economic indicators, people say they’re pessimistic about the economy–even as they spend more money, which is usually associated with boom times. That’s why I refer to it as a Great Crankiness, because it just seems people are upset and are taking that out on the economic indicators.
Rather than go through the entire list of possible reasons, here are some I haven’t seen discussed much (or at all):
- Buying a house is expensive: due to interest rates, the difference between buying a house in April 2022 and August 2022 is about $1,000/month on a $400,000 house.
- The rents are too damn high. There are several reasons why this is happening, including price collusion, but, for renters, much of their wage increases are pass-throughs to their landlords.
- Business rents are too high. Not only would this make business owners cranky, but many businesses are closing up because they can’t afford large rent increases, making things uglier. This also feeds into a sense that people who are running profitable businesses are getting the shaft (unfairly, if that needs to be added).
- The ongoing crapification of, well, everything. While the article linked above describes how a tight labor market makes it harder to provide customer service, that’s not the only factor. The need to not only have high profits, but annually increasing profits, means that companies aren’t ‘cutting fat’, they’re cutting into muscle and bone. As Cory Doctorow has noted, enshittification (sensu strico and just general lousy service and products) is a dominant feature of, again, everything.
- COVID, part I: 1.1 million Americans died from COVID, and hundreds of thousands of those deaths were needless. The U.S. has not come to grips with this (and if it ever does, it will take decades).
- COVID, part II: a subset of people are either worried about COVID, or suspect they should be worried. At the same time, others feel abandoned by society. General crankiness all around.
- Incipient fascism and theocracy: most normies don’t like to think about politics very much, and they don’t like having to be on ‘constant alert’ (for lack of a better phrase). For example, normies in Ohio wanted to legalize pot, and now the Republican-dominated legislature is attempting to prevent that. It’s exhausting and demoralizing. MOAR CRANKY.
Like I said, this isn’t close to an exhaustive list, but I think a fair amount of economic discontent has less to do with economics per se, and more to do with general dissatisfaction.

6a. Covid is very disruptive even if you have just been exposed or have a very mild case.
I challenge the assertion regarding the number of dead from COVID 19. Various models clearly indicate that we have greatly undercounted the number of dead Americans. An approximate estimate is closer to 3M, given that there is no uniform reporting for counting deaths; and that states withheld this information, clearly to create the illusion that CoVID19 wasn’t lethal; placing the importance of their economies in front of the health, safety, and welfare of their citizens.
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I’ve often said that we need to watch the holiday shopping numbers. If they’re healthy, then the consensus is we’re solid (give or take the sabotage that would be a government shutdown).
If the numbers are low, matching other entertainment numbers like low movie box office returns (the 1-2 of Barbenheimer has not been reached by ANY film this year save maybe Top Gunk – Disney’s Wish floundered as have many Disney films in the last 2 years but nobody else filled the gap for the weekend – Napoleon’s mere 80 million is hardly a conquest), then we still have the overall problem, which would be that while more people can spend money (so economic numbers look good), none of that money is on anything but the essentials.
More jobs spread the low pay around to more people (so yeah, fewer are starving and maybe more can afford something approaching decent healthcare), but nobody’s seeing raises unless you’re in the Unions that won, or in an area that finally decided to raise the minimum wage. Even in the tech sector, salaries are mostly flatlined (though the stock grants might be up).
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