Another day, another story about how we’re dramatically underestimating the prevalence of COVID because of massive undertesting, in part due to at-home antigen testing and in part because resources for COVID prevention are being cut across the board.
I know I sound like a broken record on this topic, but the one measure that will allow people to assess the risk they face is the CDC ‘Community Level’ data.
HAH! WE MAKE THE FUNNY! The CDC ‘Community Level’ data suck ass.
What we really need is asymptomatic hospital intake positivity rates. In English (or my close approximation thereof), what percentage of patients tested in hospitals who are not going to the hospital because they might have COVID (e.g., pregnant women, routine procedures, heart attacks etc.) test positive. That would give us a reasonable estimate of what it looks like ‘out there.’
If you saw that two percent of people tested positive, and you had plans to go to a big indoors party with a couple hundred people, you could decide if the risk is worth it (the chance that one or more people have COVID would approach 100 percent in that case). But right now, we’re flying blind.
If it’s up to us to decide for ourselves how to respond, then, at the very last, give us the information to protect ourselves.