Maybe things are plateauing:

Of course, without knowing percent positive rates and so on, we don’t really know what’s happening. Still, it’s better than another doubling, though 31 daily new positives/100,000 residents is very high from a transmission perspective. On the downside, while D.C. Water doesn’t release their wastewater data, surrounding municipalities are seeing a surge, so who know what is really happening, other than a minimum of 31 daily new positives/100,000 residents–which, under the old CDC system focused on transmission, not hospital capacity, is screaming red.

On April 20, DCPS released data from its ‘back-to-school’ testathon. 0.5% of students and 1.2% of staff (0.6% combined) tested positive via rapid antigen test. The ward-level differences were rather small, so there’s really no need to adjust by ward composition of the student body.

What this means, assuming COVID is distributed equally, if you’re in a group of 50 people in D.C., there’s about a 22% chance one or more of those people are infected with COVID. Something to keep in mind as people return to the office.

Merry Fucking Friday.

(this is definitely one of those weeks where I’m staggering across the finish line).