The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Getting a Bit Better

But not in all wards. Before we get to that, only Ward 3 is below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week–which also is the threshold the CDC suggests schools for all grades can reopen (0.05% in the second column below; n/a is not available):

Ward one-week prevalence one-week % pos. two-week prevalence two-week % pos.
1 0.060% n/a 0.119% n/a
2 0.075% n/a 0.178% n/a
3 0.041% n/a 0.092% n/a
4 0.078% n/a 0.140% n/a
5 0.073% n/a 0.174% n/a
6 0.068% n/a 0.156% n/a
7 0.084% n/a 0.154% n/a
8 0.113% n/a 0.253% n/a
D.C. total 0.078% 1.3% 0.163% 1.4%

Wards 4 and 7 had large increases, but Wards 2, 3, 5, 6, and 8 had large decreases, with a nine percent decrease for the entire city. Percent positive rates in all wards remain good. For most of the week, vaccination among adults was higher than it has been, doubling to about 0.2% of that population per day. This week was the first week in a very long time we have had no COVID-19 deaths.

While the cases for unvaccinated and vaccinated people lags about ten days behind, there’s the beginning of a disturbing trend: cases among the vaccinated are plateauing, while cases among the unvaccinated are rising. Until now they’ve sort of moved in tandem, but now we’re seeing a divergence of the trend. It remains to be seen what Thanksgiving and Christmas will do. Hopefully, the unvaccinated won’t set off another spike.

Still worth noting that none of this needed to happen, and we still are not where we should or need to be.

Anger is the appropriate emotion.

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