The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Getting Worse (Again)

It’s bad. Before we get to that, only Ward 2 is below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week–which also is the threshold the CDC suggests schools for all grades can reopen (0.05% in the second column below; n/a is not available):

Ward one-week prevalence one-week % pos. two-week prevalence two-week % pos.
1 0.074% n/a 0.123% n/a
2 0.043% n/a 0.080% n/a
3 0.055% n/a 0.085% n/a
4 0.060% n/a 0.103% n/a
5 0.090% n/a 0.154% n/a
6 0.102% n/a 0.169% n/a
7 0.109% n/a 0.173% n/a
8 0.108% n/a 0.200% n/a
D.C. total 0.080% 2.8% 0.136% 2.8%

The entire city didn’t get below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week, and had a 42% increase in new cases in the last week. Every ward saw large increases this week, especially Wards 4 and 8 which had doublings of new cases. We also lack percent positive rates for each ward, so there’s no context for these numbers.

D.C. had two COVID-19 related deaths in the last week. Hospitalizations and ICU stays related to COVID-19 increased slightly too. Vaccination is still too slow: at roughly 0.7% of the population becoming fully vaccinated per week, we are nowhere near close to 85% fully vaccinated–at this rate, we likely wouldn’t reach 85% before 2022. We desperately need vaccine mandates, because asking nicely isn’t working fast enough. It’s not only good policy, it’s good politics.

Because east-of-the-river still resembles Southwest Missouri in terms of vaccination. And kids haven’t even started returning to school yet.

None of this needed to happen.

Anger is the appropriate emotion.

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