The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Getting Better

Mostly. Before we get to the data, it’s worth noting that D.C. isn’t really reporting daily test data by ward, so we lack context for the prevalence data (e.g., if a ward had 9 positives in a week, how many total tests were given). Here’s the last two weeks of data (n/a is not available):

Ward one-week prevalence one-week % pos. two-week prevalence two-week % pos.
1 0.004% n/a 0.019% n/a
2 0.002% n/a 0.012% n/a
3 0.002% n/a 0.008% n/a
4 0.008% n/a 0.025% n/a
5 0.013% n/a 0.034% n/a
6 0.013% n/a 0.019% n/a
7 0.016% n/a 0.056% n/a
8 0.041% n/a 0.070% n/a
D.C. total 0.013% 0.7% 0.030% 0.8%

The entire city and all wards are below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week–which also is the threshold the CDC suggests schools for all grades can reopen (0.05% in the second column above).

The ‘good place’, which is one new case per 100,000 people per day, would be 0.007% in column two and 0.014% in column four. Wards 1-3 are there, and Ward 4 is really close. Wards 5-7 are getting closer, but Ward 8 is not doing that well, with close to six news cases per day per 100,000 people. While most wards saw dramatic decreases, Wards 6 and 8 saw large increases. LThe ward level total tests administered data aren’t being updated, so I can’t say anything about the percent positive rate, other than it’s good city-wide.

As of yesterday, D.C. has had only one death in the last week. While D.C. did surpass the Biden administration’s goal of having at least seventy percent of adults partially vaccinated yesterday, we still need more vaccination. It’s starting to look like not setting vaccination thresholds for reopening might have been a mistake. One reason Vermont is pulling together and getting vaccinated is that they rolled back restrictions based on vaccination levels. You know, incentives ‘n shit.

And we still seem to be two cities when it comes to infection and vaccination.

This entry was posted in COVID-19, DC. Bookmark the permalink.

1 Response to The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Getting Better

  1. Bern says:

    So I’ve tried several times to do the check via the kit available at the library, and the followup via DC’s website. It’s broken for me – digital wheel of death – so I have no way to log in to enter the unique test kit number and my other info. Thus, for me right now, no test. I’m sure I can find places to get tested but the single simplest way to get it done does not work and I’ve put off making a trek to get it done. So I’m wondering if that might be skewing test data (and assuming skewed test data is the norm…yes?)

Comments are closed.