The State of COVID-19 in D.C.: Getting Better, But…

…that could be an artifact of the Thanksgiving holiday. Anyway, taken at face value, Wards 2 and 3 are below the German rollback threshold of 50 new cases per 100,000 per week–which also is the moderate threshold the CDC uses (0.05% in the second column below; n/a is not available):

Ward one-week prevalence one-week % pos. two-week prevalence two-week % pos.
1 0.055% n/a 0.126% n/a
2 0.044% n/a 0.139% n/a
3 0.042% n/a 0.108% n/a
4 0.066% n/a 0.153% n/a
5 0.073% n/a 0.214% n/a
6 0.089% n/a 0.195% n/a
7 0.074% n/a 0.187% n/a
8 0.082% n/a 0.187% n/a
D.C. total 0.067% 2.5% 0.168% 1.8%

All wards had substantial declines, with new positives in the entire city decreasing by thirty four percent. However, the percent positive, while not bad, did rise, suggesting some undersampling relative to the previous week. Vaccination is improving, and hopefully, we’ll see more kids getting vaccinated too, along with the third dose (TEH BOOSTER)–and we really need to start thinking of three doses as the full course.

I’m hoping Omicron will be a nothingburger (and it could be one), but I’m not seeing any preparation either by the mainland colony or the federal government*. As some asshole with a blog put it:

The key thing is to Keep Calm and Carry On. Unless you’re laying odds in Vegas on an Omicron surge and you ‘need’ to know what will happen over the long term, over the short and medium terms, it’s the same policy as before: depending on the prevalence and vaccination, indoor masking, testing, and vaccination (along with improvements in ventilation and cheap rapid testing–but you, as an individual, probably can’t do that much about those things).

Since Mayor Bowser and the gormless Council (horrible band name) have decided that it’s up to individual efforts to stop spread, keep wearing a mask in most* public places indoors, get fully vaccinated, and yell at our elected officials to impose more vaccine requirements for non-essential activities.

Anger is the appropriate emotion.

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