Links 5/23/15

Links for you. Science:

Stop Saying Humans Are Like ‘Slowly Boiling Frogs’
A call for acceptance of career polygamy in science (excellent)
Scientist: Why Deepak Chopra is driving me crazy
U.S. Details New Efforts to Support Ailing Bees
American Innovation Lies on Weak Foundation

Other:

The second job you don’t know you have (excellent)
I’ve Read Obama’s Secret Trade Deal. Elizabeth Warren Is Right to Be Concerned. (as I noted, given how good it seems to be for Massachusetts biotech, it must be dreadful for her to oppose it)
The TPP and the Incredible Hulk Theory of International Relations
Artwork valued at more than $600,000 missing at Boston Public Library
What does ObamaCare have to do with postal banking?
The Left Matters – Now, More Than Ever
The Right and Wrong Questions About the Iraq War
What Hollywood’s Acceptance Of Sexism Looks Like In Practice
THE DUMBNESS OF THE WHALE: Information drowned in the deep!
More on the Myth of Outsourcing’s Efficiency
Good fortune, dire poverty, and inequality in Baltimore: An American story
Probing Islamic State’s sex atrocities with the United Nations
George W. Bush didn’t just lie about the Iraq War. What he did was much worse.
Alcee Hastings is right: Members of Congress have too much money, but Congress is underpaid
Lifelong Republican Turns On His Party, Embraces Obamacare
The future of wind power may not have blades at all
Teacher assails practice of giving passing grades to failing students

This entry was posted in Lotsa Links. Bookmark the permalink.

1 Response to Links 5/23/15

  1. JimV says:

    Re: “The Dumbness of the Whale”

    If this was meant to be an example of Dunning-Kruger effect at work, it was a good one. The article cherry-picks some data out of a long report to support a pre-conceived conclusion, without understanding the report and ignoring everything in the report that contradicts that conclusion.

    Given the Ideal Gas Law, P1*V1 = n*R*T1 and P2*V2 = n*R*T2 (where n and R are constants for a particular gas mixture, P is in psia, and T is also absolute, e.g. degrees Rankine – degrees F +460), a coefficient for volume expansion of leather per degree F of 0.0003 (which I found via Google), an assumed atmospheric pressure of 14.7 psia, and the temperature ranges given in the Wells’ Report (67-74 F locker room, 48-50 field), for an initial,locker room pressure of 12.5 psig I get from 11.38 psig (for 74–>48 F) to 11.76 psig (for 67–>50 F), which agrees fairly well with the report. However, these are the extremes of possible temperatures and for equilibrium conditions. The engineering analysis goes on to consider non-equilibrium conditions (with experiments) as well as the scatter in the measurements of the NEP footballs and the IC footballs, and concludes there is a very slim chance that the NEP values were consistent with no deflation after pre-game measurement.

    The report does not give enough of the details of the math of their statistical analysis for me to check it also, but I see no reason why a reputable third-party (Exponent) would hazard their engineering reputation, upon which their business depends, nor why Wells would, nor why the League would, by producing / abetting / seeking a false analysis. If anything, I would think the League (i.e., the League owners) would be happier to have exonerated their reigning league champion.

    Then there are the fishy text messages, and that first press-conference by Tom Brady in which he looked and sounded to me like a guilty teenager in front of a high-school principle. (Perhaps he was afraid that telling the truth might cause him to be suspended from the Super Bowl, and now he is locked into his position. I can’t say that I would have done better in that position.)

    My judgment, had I been the judge, would have been to determine an appropriate penalty for the case that the Patriots deflated the footballs, and that Tom Brady lied about it and refused to co-operate with the investigation. Then I would have reduced that penalty by half to account for the unlikely chance that the Patriots were innocent. I think the actual penalty (prior to appeal) was consistent with that.

    In summary: the deflate-gate denialists sound a lot like AGW denialists to me. (On a matter of much less importance.)

Comments are closed.