Both the establishment centrists and the grassroots within the Democratic party are claiming the 2006 victory as their own. But what’s really terrifying is that the group which pushed the Democrats over the top probably were the utterly clueless and indesicive voters. From CNN, comes this exit poll:
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE YOUR HOUSE VOTE?
TOTAL Democrat Republican
Today (10%) 61% 36%
Last Three Days (9%) 51% 47%
Last Week (9%) 52% 47%
Last Month (21%) 54% 44%
Before Then (50%) 54% 45%
If you compare the breakdown of Democrats versus Republicans among those who decided on voting day versus those who decided before voting day, those who decided on voting day were more likely to vote Democratic (G = 10.172; p = 0.0014; df = 1). I’m glad they made up their minds the way they did, but damn, that’s scary. How could you not have paid attention for, let’s say, the last two years? Of course, that 19% didn’t decide until three days before the election doesn’t give me much optimism either. In many races, there were stark differences between the Republican and Democrat; how much confusion could there have been?
I’m still waiting for some good political scientists to tackle what makes these types of voters tick (or maybe some already have?).