Links 4/4/20

Links for you. Science:

Pandemics Depress the Economy, Public Health Interventions Do Not: Evidence from the 1918 Flu
The Key Stat in the NYTimes’ Piece About Losing Your Sense of Smell Was Wrong
Pablo Escobar’s Hippos Fill a Hole Left Since Ice Age Extinctions
Mathematics of life and death: How disease models shape national shutdowns and other pandemic policies
‘Exhausting.’ ‘Very Strange.’ What It’s Like to Be an Epidemiologist Right Now.


Wartime Production Law Has Been Used Routinely, but Not With Coronavirus: The Defense Production Act has been invoked hundreds of thousands of times in the Trump years. But with the pandemic, the president sees it as a “break the glass” last resort. (impeach)
Michael Sorkin, who championed social justice through architecture, dies at 71 from coronavirus
“Masked George Washington” is a Photoshop job for our time
Joe Biden has a #MeToo problem
To Develop a Covid-19 Vaccine, Pharma and the Federal Government Will Have to Break Old Patterns
Trump administration’s coronavirus response is ‘abysmal,’ ‘infuriating,’ Washington region’s leaders say
What Happens in November if One Side Doesn’t Accept the Election Results?
Fatalistic Grocery Workers Demand Hazard Pay, Saying “Infection Is Inevitable”
Firing of Whistleblowing Emergency Room Doctor Ming Lin By Blackstone-Owned TeamHealth Demonstrates Outsized Role of Private Equity in Hospital Staffing
Cuomo Helped Get New York Into This Mess
The Trumpian French Doctor Behind the Chloroquine Hype
The Social-Distancing Culture War Has Begun
Private Labs Are Fueling a New Coronavirus Testing Crisis: Backlogs at private laboratories have ballooned, making it difficult to treat suffering patients and contain the pandemic.
We Need 1 Million Tests a Week
White House Economists Warned in 2019 a Pandemic Could Devastate America
A president unfit for a pandemic: Much of the suffering and death coming was preventable. The president has blood on his hands.
White House pressures FDA on unproven Japanese drug
Rev. Joseph E. Lowery, Civil Rights Leader and King Aide, Dies at 98
William Helmreich, sociologist of US Jewry and inveterate New Yorker, dies of coronavirus
The bucks, the deaths, the misery, the chaos, are 100% on Donald Trump
More questionable stock sales show up in wealthy Republican senator’s latest financial disclosure

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Links 4/3/20

Links for you. Science:

How coronavirus mutations can track its spread—and disprove conspiracies
COVID-19 course in 1 slide
Value of Diagnostic Testing for SARS–CoV-2/COVID-19 (good overview)
How sick will the coronavirus make you? The answer may be in your genes
Hydroxychloroquine Use For COVID-19 Coronavirus Shows No Benefit In First Small—But Limited—Controlled Trial


Density Is Normally Good for Us. That Will Be True After Coronavirus, Too. The very thing that has made cities vulnerable in a pandemic has protected them in other disasters.
Joe Biden is the worst imaginable challenger to Trump right now
Warehouse Workers’ New Health Hazard: Frivolous Online Orders
The Go-Go Community is Keeping the Music Alive Amid the Coronavirus Pandemic
DC domestic violence cases rise during coronavirus closures
All the President’s Crackpots
Nothing That Happens Is the President’s Fault. It’s Hoarding Hospitals, or Ungrateful Governors, or Obama.
A plague of libertarians
Federal Aid Package Shortchanges DC, Forces District to Rely More Heavily on Reserves
Quarantine the Sick in New York’s Hotels
Corporate America Fleeced Us Again
Even in a Pandemic, Andrew Cuomo Is Not Your Friend
COVID-19 Is The Best Argument Yet For A Wealth Tax: Amid a historic crisis, billionaires are keeping their money to themselves.
As Congress Pushes a $2 Trillion Stimulus Package, the “How Will You Pay For It?” Question Is Tossed in the Trash
Our Health-Care System Is Killing People
The Lost Month: How a Failure to Test Blinded the U.S. to Covid-19
Bills are Due and Payable: Workplace Strikes and Rent Strikes
WMATA is on track for a budget compromise that achieves some key rider asks (but not all)
Authors, Publishers Condemn The ‘National Emergency Library’ As ‘Piracy’
Trump warns that easier voting means ‘you’d never have a Republican elected in this country again’

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Why We Need a Universal Healthcare System

As some asshole with a blog has mentioned many times, we need a universal healthcare system. Forget for a moment the discussion we had during the presidential primary season about exactly what that system would look like and WHO WILL PAY FOR IT?!? Having been around and in public health and infectious disease for many moons, it is obvious that we need a universal healthcare system–not necessarily a universal health insurance system (we’ll return to that in a bit). This is prompted by something Jen Gunter recently wrote on the Twitter machine:

If we had a unified healthcare system*, we would have the possibility of being able to track not only influenza-negative ICU admissions, but things like reported COVID-19 symptoms, even if testing hadn’t been available (and a national patient identifier would prevent ‘double reporting’–someone whose doctor reports symptoms, and then checks into the hospital wouldn’t be counted twice). And state by state differences in reporting wouldn’t be an issue either.

It would not be trivial to build this on the fly, but it could be done in a universal system. Right now, we have no way of tracking these data. There would be, at least, the potential to do that tracking. But in our balkanized healthcare system (and that’s an insult to the Balkans), we just can’t, expect in a few places, where consolidation has led to some private systems that could pull these data semi-regionally. We also have multiple reporting system and LIMS, and there’s no easy way to report or get these data–if at all.

Realistically, in the U.S., the only political program with the heft to build such a system is the Medicare-for-All movement. Despite pundits like Bill Scher arguing otherwise, none of the other options have the potential to get us there (and, please, the ACA tried, and utterly, utterly failed. Just don’t with that). Sure, a handful of economists can engage in fantasy discussions about a hybrid Japanese-Dutch decaf system with a lemon twist, but, within the context of U.S. politics and existing legislative infrastructure, Medicare**-for-All is the only way to get to this unified system.

*Arguably, an administration that built a unified healthcare system also would have had a much better public health response, so this might have been redundant. Better redundant though, than dead.

**Though the Medicare-for-All proposals actually resemble Medicaid for All much more.

Posted in COVID-19, Healthcare | 2 Comments

Links 4/2/20

Links for you. Science:

Coronavirus carriers with no symptoms could spread disease, Italian study shows (pre-print pdf here)
COVID-19 needs a Manhattan Project
Ugh, Coronavirus Closures Will Force Rats Into People’s Homes: As scraps from restaurant dumpsters dwindle, the rodents will have to find other sources of food.
A Genomic Perspective on the Origin and Emergence of SARS-CoV-2


The missing six weeks: how Trump failed the biggest test of his life
The U.S. Tried to Build a New Fleet of Ventilators. The Mission Failed. As the coronavirus spreads, the collapse of the project helps explain America’s acute shortage. (it’s as if CEOs and investment banks are trying to turn everyone into militant socialists)
The Pandemic Could Overwhelm the Insurance Industry. We Must Expand Tricare for Everybody Who Needs It (thank workers for their service)
Don’t panic about shopping, getting delivery or accepting packages
Andrew Cuomo’s Coronavirus Response Doesn’t Mean He’s Crush-Worthy
The government must pay people to stay home
Trump is failing at wartime leadership
Tax Justice and Modern Monetary Theory – A Guide
You Know Them By Their Tweets
What the Coronavirus Means for Climate Change
Medical Expert Who Corrects Trump Is Now a Target of the Far Right
Firms rush to make at-home tests for coronavirus: But initial wave backs off after FDA warning
D.C. School Nurses Say They Were Given A Choice: Fight COVID-19 Or Face Possible Layoffs
Dems can’t have the one thing they desperately need: A presidential do-over. Now what?
The Cultural Bailout We Need Has Been a Long Time Coming
A sexual assault allegation against Joe Biden has ignited a firestorm of controversy
The Ibuprofen Debate Reveals the Danger of Covid-19 Rumors: An online furor over whether it’s safe to use the fever reducer reveals how people are sharing incomplete—and sometimes bad—information.
Marie Newman: Coronavirus Makes ‘Medicare For All’ More Likely To Happen
Bonanza for Rich Real Estate Investors, Tucked Into Stimulus Package
Can History Help Us Cope With Covid-19?
A South Korean Covid-19 Czar Has Some Advice for Trump

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On COVID-19, News Organizations Need to Replace Their Political Journalists with Their Science Journalists

The news media must step it up in their coverage of the COVID-19 pandemic. Yes, there are lots of good explainers, but too much of the ‘premier’ coverage is being driven by celebrity political journalists. They are inclined, as is almost always the case, to treat COVID-19 in the typical political horse race/gossip column manner. So, stories about bad (horrible) public health policy are recast as ‘conflict’ between political actors. Once you have ‘conflict’, you slide into that ‘he said/she said’ crapola, and it’s all downhill from there–at that point, the reporting is actively doing a disservice to the public.

Science journalists, more often than not (nobody’s perfect), will ask what the science is (i.e., what should be done), and then try to figure out what is actually being done (the policy). The personality conflict crap only emerges within the context of those two questions*. It’s worth noting that some of the most explosive stories, such as hospitals’ inability to purchase masks have not been broken by White House press corps gossip, but by science and policy-oriented journalists.

Science reporters also have the added advantage of having dealt with multiple forms of denialism, ranging from creationism to global warming denialism, so they have some experience on how to write around that.

News organizations need to pull off their political reporters and place their science reporters front and center. These cretins are are going to get thousands of people killed.

Whether this applies to topics other than COVID-19 is left as an exercise for the reader.
*Trump’s malignant narcissism is part of the story, though most celebrity political journalists will never say or write that.

Posted in COVID-19, News Media | 1 Comment

Links 4/1/20

Links for you. Science:

Thousands of covert coronavirus cases go under the radar in Wuhan, Chinese-led researchers say (paper here)
The untold origin story of the N95 mask
Vera C. Rubin Observatory, our best shot at finally explaining dark energy, nears completion
Can a century-old TB vaccine steel the immune system against the new coronavirus?
The coronavirus isn’t mutating quickly, suggesting a vaccine would offer lasting protection


It’s a good thing we eliminated polio in the 1950s because there’s no way in hell we could eliminate it under the 21st century health economics conventional wisdom
Doctors And Nurses Say More People Are Dying Of COVID-19 In The US Than We Know: “The numbers are grossly under-reported. I know for a fact that we’ve had three deaths in one county where only one is listed on the website,” one California ER doctor told BuzzFeed News. (this happens all the time with infectious disease; it was a very serious problem even before COVID-19)
Whitmer: Feds told vendors not to send medical supplies to Michigan
Several participants test positive for coronavirus after Maryland curling event
How The Absence Of Remote Voting Saps Individual Members Of Power
Elderly Asian elephant is euthanized at the National Zoo
After $25 million stimulus, stunned NSO players receive one-week notice from Kennedy Center
100 Days From Now, Presidential ZOOM Press Conference
The Coronavirus Stimulus Bill Is a $2 Trillion Slush Fund for Washington Cronies
The Novel Coronavirus has a Well-Known Left-Wing Bias
Coronavirus Is A Defining Test And American Government Is Failing It. It’s not just Trump. Our politics are unfit for this calamity.
Red April: What happens on the first of the month when residents, restaurants, and retail stores don’t pay rent?
Insiders recount how Sanders lost the black vote — and the nomination slipped away
Genealogy of a Pogrom
Stop Trying To Make Andrew Cuomo Happen
Notes On A Nightmare #3: A Disturbing Turn in Right-Wing Thought
Bought some ancient Chinese terra cotta horses on Craigslist
The Postal Service Is Breaking Down: Covid-19 has already begun to take its toll on the overextended USPS workforce.
Workers Are Warriors in the Fight Against the Coronavirus. The pandemic is putting the lives of countless workers at risk. They deserve a new deal.
Spanish capital ditches ‘unreliable’ Chinese coronavirus test kits

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South Korea as a Baseline for the U.S.: The Soft Bigotry of Low Expectations

Or ‘nuking the goalposts’ if you prefer. After yesterday’s daily attempt by Il Trumpe to hide the greatest dereliction of duty by a president* in my lifetime (for perspective, I’m not young, and there have been some real doozies during that time), the Trump administration is now hoping that ‘only’ between 100,000 to 240,000 Americans will die from COVID-19.

During yesterday’s pathetic spectacle of national humiliation, he kept referring to the one to two million who could die if we do nothing. That’s not moving the goalposts, that’s nuking them.

The standard should be South Korea. It’s a technologically sophisticated nation of 50 million people that recorded it’s first COVID-19 infection on the same day the U.S. did. So the baseline isn’t the one to two million that would die if we did nothing, it’s multiplying South Korea’s COVID-19 infections and deaths by 6.5.

For anyone tempted to engage in armchair Orientalism, and do the South Korea Confucious argle bargle, they have brawls on the floor of their legislature. This isn’t a nebulous cultural difference we could not overcome. Our failure isn’t due to American Exceptionalism, it’s a result of presidential ineptitude.

By the way, as of yesterday, South Korea had COVID-19-related 162 deaths. Scaled to the U.S. population, that would be 1,053 deaths. The U.S. currently has had 3,789 COVID-19-related deaths, with no sign of abatement anytime soon.

Impeach him. Impeach him now. Our lives depend on it.

*If we’re going to militarize a civilian office, then dereliction of duty is an appropriate phrase.

Posted in Conservatives, COVID-19, Fucking Morons, Resistance Rebellion And Death | 1 Comment