Category Archives: Polling

When Standard ‘Pundit Talks To Pals’ Behavior Is Gussied Up With Numbers

Posted on April 24, 2019 by mikethemadbiologist

Et tu, 538? One of the long-standing problems in political punditry is when pundits consider the group of people they know, a group which is almost always completely unrepresentative of the phenomenon they’re discussed, as a representative sample. Seth Masket, … Continue reading →

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics | Comments Off on When Standard ‘Pundit Talks To Pals’ Behavior Is Gussied Up With Numbers

Democratic Primary Voters Who Have No Intention Of Voting For The Democrat In The General

Posted on April 21, 2019 by mikethemadbiologist

Even if their favorite Democrat wins. Or maybe it’s just crap data. There’s a poll that was released with very small sample sizes, but which also had some interesting tidbits, so it was pushed far and wide because it made … Continue reading →

Posted in Polling | 3 Comments

Twitter Isn’t Anything Like Meat Space: The Democratic Primary Twitter

Posted on March 8, 2019 by mikethemadbiologist

Especially pseudo-woke Twitter. A couple weeks ago, I was on the Lush Left podcast, mostly proving that, as sucky as my blog is, I give even worse interviews…. Anyway, one thing we did discuss was how Twitter isn’t anything like … Continue reading →

Posted in Democrats, Polling, TWEET!!! | 1 Comment

About The Missing Generation…

Posted on March 4, 2019 by mikethemadbiologist

Over the weekend, this photo rumbled across the transom–see if you can find what’s missing: Like most of the GenXers on the Twitterz, I just laughed: of course GenX was ignored. But snark aside, this omission actually tells us something … Continue reading →

Posted in I For One Welcome Our Socialist Overlords, Polling | 3 Comments

25% Of Non-Black Clinton Supporters Are Bigoted Sh-theads: Blanket Definitions Of Voting Blocs Are Stupid

Posted on July 5, 2016 by mikethemadbiologist

See update below And shithead non-black Sanders supporters are at about twenty to thirty percent, if that makes you feel any better. Last week, Reuters released a poll which asked supporters of various presidential candidates about their attitudes towards black … Continue reading →

Posted in Conservatives, Democrats, Polling, Racism | 1 Comment

Sanders Supporters Aren’t To The Right Of Clinton’s (Thoughts On Post-Pub Review)

Posted on June 7, 2016 by mikethemadbiologist

Unless you include likely Republican voters as Sanders supporters. A couple of weeks ago, political scientists Chistopher Achen and Larry Bartels published a NY Times op-ed claiming that Sanders supporters aren’t more liberal than Clinton supporters. Achen and Bartels were … Continue reading →

Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics | 2 Comments

Looks Like There Might Be A ‘Trump Effect’

Posted on May 12, 2016 by mikethemadbiologist

I recently suggested that Trump’s polling numbers might seem worse than they actually are because some Trump supporters will be embarrassed to admit they support him. Turns out I might have been onto something (boldface mine): There is also strong … Continue reading →

Posted in Conservatives, Polling | 2 Comments

Is There A ‘Trump Effect’?

Posted on May 5, 2016 by mikethemadbiologist

People used to talk about the ‘Bradley Effect’, named after African-American mayor and failed gubernatorial candidate William Bradley, who lost even though pre-election polls predicted a victory. It was thought some voters who intended to vote for the white candidate … Continue reading →

Posted in Polling | 8 Comments

Understanding The Limitations Of Your Data: The Slavery Polling Edition

Posted on February 29, 2016 by mikethemadbiologist

Last week, a YouGov poll announced that twenty percent of Trump supporters disagreed with the freeing of slaves after the Civil War. I won’t deny that a huge (YOOGE!) component of Trump’s appeal is Palinist–that is, white nationalist (though I … Continue reading →

Posted in Polling, Statistics | Comments Off on Understanding The Limitations Of Your Data: The Slavery Polling Edition

What Does a Debate Poll Mean When 60% of Respondents Didn’t Watch It?

Posted on October 18, 2015 by mikethemadbiologist

For the record, I’ve never really based what I should think and believe on what polls say. I opposed the Iraq War when it was popular, I opposed the Patriot Act when it was popular. I opposed torture when it … Continue reading →

Posted in Democrats, Fucking Morons, Polling | Comments Off on What Does a Debate Poll Mean When 60% of Respondents Didn’t Watch It?