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Category Archives: Polling
Pollsters Never Answer the Interesting Questions
Recently, YouGov conducted a poll about what kinds of development Americans support locally and nationally. The good news is sixty-five percent of Americans think their local community should have more apartment buildings. They then argue that politicians should be more … Continue reading
Posted in Polling
3 Comments
Masking Remains Popular
I’ve been a long-time fan of using local conditions, such as COVID prevalence (how many people are currently infected), to determine when various restrictions and requirements should be removed or weakened, so I realize there won’t be a one-size fits … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19, Polling
3 Comments
If You’re Calling for New Democratic Messages, Be Clear about What You Mean
Last week, Ezra Klein had an interview with polling wunderkindt David Shor, whose political wisdom Klein distills to (boldface mine): All this comes down to a simple prescription: Democrats should do a lot of polling to figure out which of … Continue reading
Posted in Democrats, Polling
2 Comments
I Thank Nine Percent of Vaccinated Americans for Their Service
Here’s a very intriguing finding in a recent YouGovAmerica poll–note the red squiggles I added: I hope this is a ‘protest answer’ and not a seriously-held belief, but, at this point, who the hell knows? Thank you for your sacrifice, … Continue reading
Posted in COVID-19, Polling
2 Comments
Faith in Polls Not Seen
One of the weird things about the electability debate in the Democratic primary is that it seems utterly divorced from polling data. In particular, the argument is that Sanders can’t win, even though polls have him as competitive, if not … Continue reading
Most People Have No Idea What Basic Political Terms Mean
I realize this probably isn’t news to anyone who teaches political science, but these two tables from a widely distributed NBC poll amuse me: If this is to be believed, twenty percent of Americans think Sanders is too conservative. That … Continue reading
Posted in Democrats, Polling
3 Comments
The Outlier Poll that Won’t Die
I know I’ve been beating this like a drum, but that damn April Emerson poll keeps rearing its godawful ugly ass head. For those who don’t know what I’m referring to (probably a mark in your favor), in April, Emerson … Continue reading
Posted in Democrats, Fucking Morons, Polling
2 Comments
How to Use Polling Data for Gaslighting Clickbait
Consider this part of our ongoing series in how not to use polling data. This head-explodey tweet came across the transom recently: For the third week in a row, The Economist/YouGov polling shows that the share of Democratic primary voters … Continue reading
Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics
Comments Off on How to Use Polling Data for Gaslighting Clickbait
Revisiting Misadventures in Interpreting Democratic Primary Polling Data (LIZLADS ARE THE WORST)
Since we’re discussing the Democratic primaries, I’ll began with my typical disclosure that, were I voting today, I would vote Warren. A month ago, Emerson Polling released a poll, which led to wailing and gnashing of teeth in certain quarters: … Continue reading
Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics
Comments Off on Revisiting Misadventures in Interpreting Democratic Primary Polling Data (LIZLADS ARE THE WORST)
When Standard ‘Pundit Talks To Pals’ Behavior Is Gussied Up With Numbers
Et tu, 538? One of the long-standing problems in political punditry is when pundits consider the group of people they know, a group which is almost always completely unrepresentative of the phenomenon they’re discussed, as a representative sample. Seth Masket, … Continue reading
Posted in Democrats, Polling, Statistics
Comments Off on When Standard ‘Pundit Talks To Pals’ Behavior Is Gussied Up With Numbers