A few months ago, statistically illiterate people jumped on one month of polling to declare that sexist ‘Bernie-or-Busters’ who hate Elizabeth Warren were going to cost Democrats the 2020 election (full disclosure: were I to vote today, I would vote for Warren). That was based on an Emerson poll, which is released monthly. In the poll, they ask voters whom they plan to vote for in the primary, and then also ask them in a race between Trump and [Democratic candidate], whom they would vote for (in one month’s poll, a quarter of Sanders supporters said they would vote for Trump over Warren. BOOGA! BOOGA!).
Well, once again, we see in July’s poll (to the extent the Emerson poll should be believed) that Biden supporters really don’t like Warren: 20/143 Biden voters said they would vote for Trump over Warren. By contrast, Sanders supporters are now the second most loyal to Warren, with 71/74 Sanders supporters saying they would vote for Warren over Trump (69/70 Warren supporters say they would support Warren over Trump). Chapo Trap House notwithstanding, many Sanders supporters are either what used to be called liberal Democrats or what used to be called labor Democrats. Meanwhile, if Biden doesn’t win, moderate Democrats are going to have to do the hard work to reach out to their co-travelers and bring the Biden-or-Busters home.
Everything is stupid.